Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1.811496 2.096803 2.410516 2.780805 3.205693 3.677755 4.241804
2025-03-09 1.390755 1.757516 2.195376 2.755717 3.452871 4.290817 5.373663
2025-03-16 1.072973 1.465413 1.969163 2.661198 3.585149 4.774077 6.417993
2025-03-23 0.925613 1.354473 1.941487 2.799962 4.019349 5.684726 8.126962
2025-03-30 0.796807 1.241654 1.887130 2.886080 4.386411 6.547914 9.888856
2025-04-06 0.675544 1.115715 1.789706 2.888495 4.625225 7.252149 11.511224
2025-04-13 0.547308 0.955034 1.611847 2.736328 4.600750 7.551938 12.554369
2025-04-20 0.490405 0.899389 1.589095 2.823025 4.958550 8.478934 14.687430
2025-04-27 0.452236 0.868602 1.601181 2.966216 5.423804 9.628987 17.319371
2025-05-04 0.407974 0.819006 1.572093 3.030765 5.757292 10.590285 19.737233
2025-05-11 0.365872 0.766209 1.528607 3.060797 6.028550 11.467932 22.101664
2025-05-18 0.315835 0.689479 1.428525 2.968349 6.056300 11.903064 23.698666
2025-05-25 0.266227 0.606780 1.307328 2.822361 5.971264 12.135999 24.981000
2025-06-01 0.239002 0.567212 1.267631 2.836051 6.206404 13.012762 27.625565
2025-06-08 0.208009 0.514003 1.191356 2.761547 6.249107 13.511854 29.572232
2025-06-15 0.198782 0.509425 1.220098 2.919556 6.807699 15.130056 34.025445
2025-06-22 0.185983 0.494108 1.222327 3.017922 7.247386 16.547492 38.215361
2025-06-29 0.168762 0.464845 1.187749 3.025616 7.482075 17.547287 41.606815
2025-07-06 0.144375 0.412833 1.090715 2.869392 7.313074 17.629357 42.946119
2025-07-13 0.136037 0.402118 1.094313 2.961934 7.752336 19.146087 47.760642
2025-07-20 0.131126 0.400021 1.119584 3.113020 8.354989 21.110764 53.850860
2025-07-27 0.122794 0.386748 1.113531 3.181319 8.756690 22.638545 59.055350
2025-08-03 0.113737 0.369754 1.094912 3.213191 9.067752 23.978195 63.943338